Ok so here’s my first loss.
Cable had turned its trend the previous day and had channeled north over night.
At point 1 price made what I felt was a last push north. It broke north of an upwards channel, without convergence on the MACD and with price printing a high test bar at the R2 which was also around the 1.6100 psych level.
When price printed another hi-test bar with a lower high and lower low I decided to go short. This is one of my TACT trades and I went short at 6085 with a Stop-loss at 6106 (5 points above recent high and 1.6100 round number.)
Initally price pushed short and price went about 5 points positive before turning again and heading back north. For a moment it looked like it was about to print a double top before rolling over. But it was not to be. Price continued pushing north and took me outr at my Stop loss for -21 points.
This was a day on which cable was only going in one direction…straight north. In hindsight its easy to say I should have gone with the trend but my overall strategy is about looking for a confluence of events. Price breaking north out of a channel, with divergence, priniting a reversal candle, at a psychological round number, which was also very close to the daily R2 was enough of a confluence of events to take the short trade.
So my first loss…for 21 points. But overall I’m still up for the week. Tomorrow is another day.
October 18, 2009
FX Trading